Asia powers on
One of the principal justifications for inaction on climate change and the go-slow on the transformation to low-emission technologies in developed nations such as the US, Canada and Australia, is that the major Asian economies are not doing their fair share.
If that is true, someone forget to tell Asia’s leading industrialists.
Over the past few weeks there have been numerous examples of the sort of transformation that has been taking place across north Asia – from Honda’s massive commitment to electric vehicles (now that the previous CEO who “didn’t like batteries” is gone), to Panasonic’s $10 billion buyout of Sanyo Electronics to consolidate its green technology investments. The heads of both Honda and Panasonic have said the transformation of their companies was a matter of survival – they would be soon out of business if they didn’t keep up with their rivals.
Last week, the South Korean shipping giant Daewoo Shipping announced that it aimed to source one third of its revenue from the wind energy industry by 2020 – just like that. That equates to $US7.5 billion from next to nothing ($US25 million) right now. It’s the equivalent of building an industrial giant nearly twice the size of Foster’s from scratch, and in just 10 years.
“It’s a very ambitious target and it won’t be easy,” chief strategy officer Koh Young Youl told Bloomberg. “Still, the market potential for wind power is very big, partly because there’s a lot of interest in going offshore as the space on land runs out.”
Daewoo plans to leverage its knowledge of the shipping industry to build, operate and service offshore wind installations, and is targeting Europe and the US too. The world’s largest ship-builder, Hyundai Heavy Industries, is also making major investments in wind and solar technologies.
But perhaps the trend towards clean energy and low-emission technologies is best summed up by the listed Chinese energy company China Longyuan Power Group, one of the “big five” energy producers in China that was the first to push into renewable energy in a major way.
The company still produces some 60 per cent of its energy from coal trading and coal-fired energy production, but that will quickly diminish as China Longyuan adds a further 2GW of wind power a year over the next three years, part of a staggering pipeline of 50GW (more than the nameplate capacity of Australia’s grid) of wind resources, including offshore installations.
Earlier this month it released its annual earnings, showing that wind accounts for 76 per cent of EBITDA, as wind energy attracts a 34 per cent higher tariff to coal-fired energy in China’s grid, and capital expenditure for its wind business outstrips that of coal by a factor of 50:1. The total capex budget for 2010 is $US2.9 billion (financing isn’t a problem in China and China Longyuan has borrowing costs in the range of 3.7-5.4 per cent).
The company also noted that the costs of wind turbines had fallen 10 per cent in the last year alone. China Longyuan is also pursuing developments in solar, geothermal and biomass energy solutions.
Unlike others, China Longyuan has seen no slowdown in policies as a result of Copenhagen. Quite the reverse in fact. “Wind power and other renewable energy have become the world’s investment highlights after the Copenhagen Climate Change Conference,” the company said in its results announcement, noting China’s 15 per cent non-fossil energy target by 2020 and the targeted 40-45 per cent cut in emissions intensity.
“In order to reduce the proportion of fossil energy, China needs splendid efforts to develop its alternative energy industry. Going forward, wind power and other renewable energy will make up a much more significant proportion in China’s primary energy portfolio, and low-carbon economy and energy-saving and emission reduction policies will be crucial to future economic development.”
Little wonder, with all the above as just a taster of what is happening in north Asia, that France, Germany and the UK have been pushing their EU counterparts to lift their emissions reduction targets to 30 per cent, to try and give their industries the same incentive to move to low-emissions technologies.
One wonders, though, where this leaves Australian industry. Although there are numerous examples of smaller companies investing heavily in new technologies – think geothermals, some wind developers and solar start-ups – there is little evidence of a shift among larger groups, although BHP Billiton’s proposed purchase of Potash Corp may be a taste of things to come.
As we’ve seen in the last week, two of the companies that stand most ready to invest in lower-emission technologies, Origin and AGL, have sacrificed three or four years of low-carbon investment because they have been able to satisfy their obligations by buying cheap certificates on market instead. And in the absence of a carbon price there is no price signal for them to push ahead with gas-fired installations.

Comments on this article
Coal Nevertheless
While China is building a lot of new power stations, it is my understanding that some of the oldest stations are being shut down.
Also, a lot of China's emissions are used to manufacture consumer goods for the West, this is increasing as more manufacturing is being delegated to China.
I would suggest that these emissions should be transferred to the destination countries, since the Chinese emissions were made on their behalf.
This would produce a better indication of the actual per-capita emissions of various countries. This may also help to arrest the rampant movement of manufacturing to china, or to speed China along the path to best practise.
Failure of welfare states
All of this foolishness will probably come to a halt sometime next year. The welfare states of Western Europe are all for all intents and purposes bankrupt. and the USA is in the same boat. These countries have been running large budget deficets and increasing government debts over many years which has resulted in most productive and wealth creation industries moving out. This process has been exacerbated by the large transfer of taxpayers money to expensive and unreliable energy industries in the form of subsidies and renewable energy targets. The recent round of manic stimulous spending has also transferred a large propotion of the private debt to the taxpayer and made the problem worse. It is looking increasingly likely that the USA and Europe will enter a double dip recession next year which could lead to a protracted depression. It will be unlikely that there will be any capacity at all following this for taxpayer money to continue to prop up these wastefull renewable energy fantasies. If, as also predicted, the northern hemisphere continues to get brutally cold winters then I image there will be some desperate people about. The number of people in "energy poverty" in the UK, for example, has been rapidly increasing. This resulted in an estimated extra 60,000 cold related deaths in the UK alone last winter because people could not afford the heating cost.
Don't forget wave power.
The article fails to mention wave power which has significant potential in southern Australia being more reliable than wind and close to population centers and usage. One or two companies are making slow progress. Carnegie in particular, with global expertise and potential based on oil pipeline practice, is gradually getting a trial established in Fremantle.
Nevertheless
Nevertheless, China will continue to be primarily reliant on coal fired power into the forseeable future. Last I heard, it was building one or two new coal fired power stations every week.
Britain is finding wind energy costly and impractical with firms being paid to shut down wind farms when the wind is blowing and subsidies of a billion pounds per year being passed on to the taxpayer.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/energy/windpower/7061552/Wind-farm-subs...
Vestas Knocks Wind Out of Forecast
http://online.wsj.com/article/NA_WSJ_PUB:SB10001424052748703649004575437350994397756.html