Carbon financing: Get the product right
The question of how to finance renewable energy infrastructure is all the rage. How do we mobilise private sector savings? What role should government play? Can we be sure we can allocate project risks to the parties best placed to manage them?
The Australian Conservation Foundation (ACF) recently released a report on funding the transition to a low-carbon economy. It recommended the establishment of a clean energy finance corporation (or green investment bank), that would utilise the federal government’s “AAA” credit rating to support and induce private sector investment.
Various other countries, the UK in particular, have been discussing the merits of a green investment bank, so the ACF report is timely and it puts some more rigorous thinking around the concept.
Back in July, I wrote an article outlining some of the key issues that the designers of a green investment bank would need to cover for it to work, such as the impact of the project financing cycle, locating the natural investors at various project stages and key challenges to overcome. It is a simple idea but surprisingly more complex in practice.
What is now becoming clear, when we think about private savings mobilisation, is the issue of investment product. There have been buyers of environmentally friendly investment products for many years. These are funds that typically apply a set of values to their investment criteria and this style is often referred to as ethical or socially responsible investing.
But there is more to it than that. There is a much wider range of ‘mainstream’ investors out there who are not values driven. Some have, in the interests of prudent risk management, commenced the process of systematically analysing environmental factors in their everyday investment practices.
The upshot is that ethical funds are differentiated by their investment style. For example, in an equity or bond portfolio they may exclude coal mining companies because they disagree with a business model based on burning coal; whereas mainstream investors have a broader range of investments to pick from, seeing the challenge as one of understanding the risk inherent in the security and pricing accordingly.
What’s all this got to do with the concept of a green investment bank? For many, there is a fundamental assumption that new investment markets will provide a substantial source of funding for renewable energy investment. Retail investors have been identified as having demand for ‘green’ bonds that are linked to the environmental cause along with funds that take an ethical approach to investing. These markets are not yet fully tested and their funding capacity is unknown.
The assumption may turn out to be valid but it is not without risk. Most large superannuation funds offer an ethical-based investment option and the average take-up rate by members has hovered around the 2 per cent level. So the challenge for a green investment bank strategy is to stimulate demand and create new markets in which to issue these bonds.
A much lower-risk approach is to issue bonds that fit the mainstream investor market. After all, that is where the real money is. These investors are not overly sensitive to the environmental cause; they are looking for certain features in the bonds they buy, such as the return relative to similarly rated bonds, bond maturities that fit their portfolio requirements and good liquidity. If they like the bonds on offer, they’ll turn up with big money.
Bonds issued under the ACF’s clean energy finance corporation model would carry an “AAA” rating and mainstream investors would expect some level of extra return because it is not a direct form of government risk and the bonds are likely to be less liquid than government bonds.
A green investment bank could diversify its funding base and maximise its fundraising ability by forming strategies for both of these markets. Ethical funds and retail investors may be motivated by the branding of the bond offering and underlying cause, whereas mainstream investors will make clinical risk and return assessments. There are two distinct markets out there and delivering the right product to the right market will be part of the challenge in mobilising private sector savings.
Phil Preston is the Principal of Seacliff Consulting, a firm offering specialised consulting services in the financial and responsible investment fields. His prior work includes 17 years of financial research and portfolio management in the funds management industry.

Comments on this article
Financing social infrastructure
This piece starts with questions:
The question of how to finance renewable energy infrastructure is all the rage. How do we mobilise private sector savings? What role should government play? Can we be sure we can allocate project risks to the parties best placed to manage them?
Replace the words renewable energy with "affordable housing" and you are talking about another major infrastructure issue - how do we fund enough affordable (and preferably sustainable) houisng. I haven't seen much recognition of it yet but can different but equally crucial social infrastructure funding arenas converge in creating ethical and sustainable as well as finaically attractive investment products? Especially as all probably require government to offer some form of access to enhanced credit rating.
Wolf in Green clothing
The link to the ACF report failed, so we are unable to check that it does indeed make recommendations to protect the climate. I for one, needed to check that it condemns methane in the same breath as CO2. If it fails to condemn methane, it will certainly fail to condemn the growth of gas-fired power stations, and the growing network of pipelines across the country which leak increasing amounts of methane as they age.
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I deeply suspect that the ACF is not so much interested in protecting the climate, as in supporting the worshippers of renewables. To that end, they must make a pact with the devil, so that there are always gas turbines waiting to back up the inevitable failures of the renewables supply.
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These people are not interested in replacing fossil fuels, only in claiming token "reductions". But the fine print will show that the "reductions" are in prompt CO2, and fail to take account of the much nastier methane.
Who benefits?
I hope that no one is going to tell me that low tech imported windmills and solar panels are ethical. Nor am I convinced that transferring money from the poor of one country to the rich of another is ethical. And how is taking from the poor of today to help the rich of tomorrow ethical? Why is it ethical to decide never to revisit the climate models again but rather to sanctify them and ignore any contradiction with real world data? Why will these bonds be good for anyone? They certainly won't help the environment. What's the point of them?
green bank = red herring?
To some extent this is all missing the point. The key driver for investment in "green" projects, however defined, is appropriate reward for risk. If the returns are not reliably there, then a AAA-rated GIB cannot seriously expect to be a viable prospect - or if it is through sheer weight of government backing, then taxpayers are bearing a lot of risk. If the returns are there, then it's questionable how much value a GIB adds - perhaps at the margins, especially for first-of-kind projects if traditional financial institutions are erring on the conservative side in their investment evaluation. But it is the underlying propsects for green projects that are really the key, which will be driven by a number of factors, including government policies.
ACF is irresponsible
The ACF (and the other so called environmental NGOs) are irresponsible. These groups, and their predecessors have been running anti-nuclear campaigns for 40 years. Their advocacy or renewable energy is intended to delay even further the implementation of nuclear energy. Their claims of concern about the dire consequences of CO2 emissions while at the same time strenuously resisting the least-cost way to reduce emissions is hypocracy.
The Federal government has invested $10 billion "in renewable and clean energy and energy efficiency". If those tax-payer funds had been invested to give best value for money we could have 10 GW of nuclear capacity, which would avoid 80 million tonnes of CO2 p.a. That amount of tax-payer funding could have provided the catalyst to get nuclear started - and no more to pay!