Could a carbon price save America?
We should put all of our options on the table at a time when job creation and deficit reduction is the name of the game and raising revenues is a political quagmire. A price on carbon is one of these options. It could raise upward of $846 billion over a 10-year period, according to the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office. It’s no magic bullet for our nation’s deficit issues but it is certainly a practical way to raise revenues while also creating jobs, fighting climate change, and saving programs for struggling communities. And it enjoys support from across the political spectrum.
Here we examine how carbon pricing would work and why it’s a good proposal.
Further deficit reduction should include new revenues and smart cuts
The debt deal compromise reached between Congress and President Barack Obama will cut federal discretionary spending by about $1 trillion over the next 10 years, with the so-called “super committee” accountable for another $1.2 trillion in deficit reduction proposals by Thanksgiving. The secondary round of deficit reduction measures can be achieved by further spending cuts or through revenue-raising strategies.
Republican leadership has made clear they have no intention of raising additional revenue even when it comes to closing tax loopholes that primarily benefit the wealthy or ending tax breaks that go to the richest 2 per cent of Americans. Likewise, present tax giveaways to some of the most profitable industries in the country, like Big Oil, are also off the table even though the tax-subsidized industry racked in a massive $35.1 billion in profits in the second quarter of 2011 alone.
We also know that the first wave of cuts was made on the backs of low-income Americans. The cuts will place restrictions on our annual spending bills that could impact investments to programs that fund education and training dollars, as well as funding for employment programs, housing assistance, heating and cooling assistance to low-income seniors, and child care services that allow mothers to enter the workforce. Cutting more funding to programs that help low-income and working-class Americans will cause even greater pain.
Likewise, a cut-only strategy could be absolutely devastating for our jobs crisis. Today, 25 million Americans are in need of a full-time job, with unemployment still above 9 per cent and nearly twice that rate for African Americans and 11.3 per cent for Latinos. If less people are working, less people are spending, and economic recovery will be slow and anemic at best.
According to the Economic Policy Institute, the combined effect of the deal’s spending cuts and allowing unemployment benefits and the payroll tax holiday to expire would cost the U.S. economy 1.8 million jobs through 2012 alone. It will also likely exacerbate poverty as unemployment benefits kept 3.3 million people out of poverty in 2009.
The upshot: To grow and stabilise our economy, we need a balanced plan that includes new revenue sources along with smart cuts.
How a price on carbon would reduce the budget deficit
A cap-and-trade system that puts a price on carbon would reduce the budget deficit by generating revenues from carbon polluters. Here’s how it would work.
First, the government would create carbon allowances, or “emissions permits,” and distribute them to large-scale polluting companies either by auction or allocation at varying levels. The emitting company would then effectively purchase an allowance for every ton of carbon dioxide it emits. The large revenue stream generated by all these payments collectively can then be directed back to consumers in the form of rebates, be used for deficit reduction, and be invested in clean energy.
The various cap-and-trade proposals put on the table in the past few years have proposed varying balances of these three uses of revenue. The Congressional Budget Office scores for three recent cap-and-trade bills – Waxman-Markey, Kerry-Boxer, and Kerry-Lieberman – are all similar: Enough revenues would be generated to dramatically cut the national deficit:
– American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 (Waxman-Markey): Would increase federal revenues by $846 billion over the 2010-2019 period
– Clean Energy Jobs and American Power Act of 2009 (Kerry-Boxer): Would increase federal revenues by $854 billion over the 2010-2019 period
– American Power Act of 2010 (Kerry-Lieberman): Would increase federal revenues by about $751 billion over the 2011-2020 period
A “cap-and-dividend” approach to pricing carbon, in which carbon allowances are auctioned off and then all or most auction revenues are returned to American households, has also been proposed. Most notable was the cap-and-dividend system proposed by Sens. Maria Cantwell (D-WA) and Susan Collins (R-ME) in the 2010 CLEAR Act. CBO never scored the system but it had projected revenues between $42 billion and $126 billion with three-fourths of this going back to consumers as rebates.
This proposal would not include significant deficit-reduction revenues, however, and it was also criticized for its relatively weak cap on carbon.
The numbers differ depending upon the total carbon cap set and how revenues are redirected. But the story is simple: Pricing carbon pays off when it comes to the national deficit.
A broad range of thought leaders supports this strategy
These ideas aren’t new, and they are historically not highly partisan as current conservative leaders would have you believe. In fact, the three most recent Republican presidents – Ronald Reagan, George HW Bush, and George W Bush – all promoted use of a cap-and-trade mechanism for efficiently lowering dangerous pollution. They employed such systems to phase out lead in gasoline, cut chlorofluorocarbons and other ozone-depleting chemicals, and reduce sulfur pollution from power plants responsible for acid rain – all without undue cost.
Experts agree on the idea as well. Earlier this year the Peter G. Peterson Foundation funded six national think tanks from a broad range of the political spectrum to put forward plans addressing our nation’s fiscal challenges. Nearly every group participating specifies a price on carbon as an efficient vehicle for raising revenues in their budget plan.
Joe Romm of Climate Progress notes of these proposals:
All in all, this strikes me as a big deal. Just a few months ago, the political acceptability of any carbon pricing was viewed as virtually non-existent, a “third rail” for the foreseeable future. Now you have major policy groups from across the political spectrum seriously entertaining not just any carbon pricing, but a high and rising price sufficient to substantially reduce US emissions and put us on the path needed to meet our obligation as part of an overall global deal.
The Center for American Progress plan, Budgeting for Growth and Prosperity, brings the deficit below 2 per cent of gross domestic product within six years and fully balances the budget by 2030. The CAP budget institutes an aggressive price on carbon, as well as an oil import fee, and achieves the CO2 reduction targets from the 2009 House climate and clean energy jobs bill (Waxman-Markey): a 42 percent cut (from 2005 levels) by 2030 and an 83 percent cut by 2050.
Of course, advocates will point out that any price on carbon could adversely affect low-income Americans, who pay a larger portion of their incomes for energy costs. But smart policy can mitigate these effects. In the CAP plan, for example, lower-income groups are protected from the impact of higher energy prices through rebates and tax reform.
Putting a price on carbon also would create jobs and stimulate new demand for American goods and services
Setting a price on carbon would accelerate America’s economic recovery while also creating clean energy jobs, spurring technological innovation, and fighting climate change. It is one key step to reach the broader goal of catalyzing the transformation to an efficient and sustainable low-carbon economy.
In reducing the deficit, we need to think about the health of our entire economic system. With staggering unemployment, the focus of any deal needs to be on job growth and the future of the American middle class.
A price on carbon would spur job creation in emerging sectors and industries from clean-tech manufacturing to R&D centers around the country. A Berkeley-Yale analysis of the Senate’s American Clean Energy and Security Act (Waxman-Markey), a comprehensive clean energy and climate bill with a cap-and-trade pricing system, estimated net job creation from a price on carbon included in the bill at 918,000 to 1.1 million jobs. CAP and the Political Economy Research Institute found job creation potential of 1.7 million jobs from the Waxman-Markey bill, which also contained a carbon pricing system.
Further, the clean energy jobs resulting from the innovation and investment that are spurred by a price on carbon are good, well-paying jobs. A recent Brookings analysis found that median wages in the jobs sectors defined as part of the “clean economy” are currently 13 percent higher than median U.S. wages.
CAP also has long argued that putting a price on carbon is essential to shaping an efficient and sustainable solution to the climate crisis. Of course, a domestic price on carbon alone is not enough to avert climate catastrophe on a global scale—nor is it enough to bring the clean energy economy to full scale. A price on carbon and clean energy investments must go hand in hand. But it would play the critical role of spurring new markets and jobs at a moment when Americans desperately need them.
In addition to generating revenues from major polluters, a price on carbon will also offer a price signal to markets that we want less carbon and more clean energy. It turns the negative environmental effects of carbon emissions into a real business cost for emitters, thus correcting a major market failure.
A cap on emissions sets a clear goal and establishes a long-term signal in the market, encouraging innovation and allowing businesses to plan their investment strategies. Put simply, pollution limits are essential for clean energy investments to spur new, low-carbon technologies of the future.
Even in the current political debate, pricing carbon pollution would be a win-win solution: It would cut the deficit, save programs for struggling Americans, spur economic recovery, and create clean energy jobs while also fostering long-term climate stability and economic prosperity.
Susan Lyon is Special Assistant for Energy Policy and Jorge Madrid is a Research Associate at American Progress.
This article was originally published by the Centre for American Progress – www.americanprogress.org. Reproduced with permission.

Comments on this article
I like this string of posts
I think a lot of these posts encapsulate where we are in the current economic and social debate. Western democratic societies are essentially at the crossroads between "back to the 30's" and the failure of the market system, and "back to the 60's and 70's" and the failure of Big Brother social and economic engineering.
As an older bloke I have a lot of empathy for Peter Winch's cynicism. Every single person always thinks they know best what other people need.
However the economic reality is that almost every western economy needs to find more tax revenue. The absolutely well off and the relatively well off will just have to get used to the fact. But I do want a market based but Government regulated solution to reduce Australia and the world's output of CO2.
Isn't it a tragedy that the Libs went for the south american populist model instead of Turnbull?
It amazes me how many contributers to this site put their faith in populist folk lore instead of trained, competent experts.
Al Deeb, the answer to your question is quite simple. You have to take into account adjustment for the economy thus any new tax cannot be excessive. But anyone who thinks Australia or the USA are highly taxed economies are kidding themselves. That is a different question to whether Government spending can be cut. Personally, in Australia, I would scrap most superannuation concessions, baby bonus and child endowment for over 2 kids. Save about $20b per annum.
My view China is going to
My view
China is going to consume 4 billions tons of coal in a few years time. The consequence is more pollution and pressure on transport because they have big coal deposit in the north west while east coast and southern china has the main energy demand.
My thought is that it is not hard for china to mobilize 100 millions labors who would otherwise doing nothing at home except the crop plantation and harvesting period. If these labour spend 50 weeks a year and 5 days a weeks harvesting average 100 kg of dry vegetation such as fallen tree branch, leaves, bush, grass etc, They can, according to coal price, earn us$2,500 a year, which is above their annual income. The fuel they can harvest is 2.5 billions tons and is much cleaner than coal.
Each year 2000 coal miners in china lost their lives and most of profit goes to the mining companies executive or owners. By putting price on fossil fuel and use that revenue to subsidize these labors, china would be far better of than going down current path, which is not sustainable and harmful.
Same rule and practice can apply to anywhere in the world.
I would like to see using the term "fossil tax". Not carbon tax.
great idea
Why dont they triple the tax to have triple the recovery?
Great thought piece
I don't understand all the negativity about this piece. Only an idiot would suggest the US shouldn't be looking at all options. Well done on a positive contribution.
One thing people don't seem to get is the double dividend available from environmental taxes. You can use the revenue to reduce other taxes like income tax, payroll tax etc which will also support growth.
Did Tony Abbott just become comment editor?
My goodness the amount of negativity in response to this article is astounding! Can we please try and lift the bar a little - some constructive addition to the conversation would be a nice surprise.
America's problem
Of course the US has economic problems and environmental problems. Can a carbon tax sort out both of those?
Only if the elephant in the room is fixed up. That is the US politic. It has been bought and corrupted for over 100 years. Government is elected by those who donate to the parties, and those in power pay back the favour. Public interest is not the aim.
IMHO there is no fix possible unless the nexus between vested interest and government is deeply fractured. Those in power, and the elite beneficiaries will not relinquish control, at best they will re-badge the existing sick paradigm.
Same goes for Australia too, 'though thankfully to a lesser extent - so far. I note the parties are now considering the American model for choosing candidates.
Could a carbon price save America?
I don't believe I'm reading this on an allegedly reputable site. "Raise a new Tax to save the US economy".
Could the authors please go and save another planet. This one could do without your idea of a 'cure' for economic stagnation.
Really (yawn)...
Alistair, a carbon tax would be fine and lets leave it at that. Then let the best man win. Don't rule out nukes, or gas.
And there (yawn) lies the rub. Its all about idealists with other agendas. Straighten up the economics in the same way we pay for sewerage then no problem. (yawn) But the luddites keep coming out of the wood work and try to pick winners, can't even agree amongst themselves if its this or that technology. false claims about jobs and how cheap it may all become are just all hot air for now. So stomping on enything thats not in the agenda is essential because it would defeat the ideology if something cheaper here and now got up other than renewables (yawn).
Just the same ole economic illiteracy tarted up as "its the right thing to do". Spare me from the grindingly inane and maudlin. (yawn)
Really Peter ....yawn
Re Peter Winch
"The fact fossil fuels produce energy at lower cost means a replacement must be even cheaper. End of story"
What a simple economic world it has been, where one can say that the cost of a product only incorporates the cost of making it and not the cost of disposing of it.
Of course this world has changed, so it is unlikely that fossil fuels will remain the cheapest alternative.
I say goodluck, to anybody who can take subsidies away from big oil and back into improving peoples lives. It would be a job well done.
Carbon Price Won't Save America
North Americans are trying to build an economy within their failed economy and putting a carbon tax or cap and trade isn't going to work or address the problem.
What makes a slow economy dangerous is political parties which are special interest groups trying to create jobs that aren't there so they can get elected. In doing that they think they have to burn fossil fuels on a grand scale so environmental deregulation takes place.
I am going to show you 2 examples in the infrared spectrum for several reasons. The power of solar isn't being utilized.
This first link shows solar exposed building development 68 deg. C when it is -4 deg. C in the Canadian winter. Building development isn't reflecting solar radiation so the buildings are heating the atmosphere without carbon produced. http://www.thermoguy.com/blog/index.php?itemid=50
Here is another link showing 2 time-lapsed infrared videos of building development being radiated by the sun in the morning. You will see how fast and aggressive the radiation is, shade effect plus why people are cooked inside their buildings while massive emissions are wasted reacting to the symptoms of the exterior being radiated. http://www.thermoguy.com/blog/index.php?itemid=71
Cap and trade on massive emissions treating symtoms is seriously flawed because the building development is still super heating the atmosphere. There is an economy in fixing the problem with paints, coatings or shade. Air conditioning is really refrigeration and tells you the building is radiated and the source of heat.
Silver bullets exist only in the movies
Only two words come to mind...deck chairs, Titanic.
The idea that a tax on everyone through a cost of energy tax, that gets passed on as it must by the payers pegoratively called polluters. This money cycles around and something gets built.
The issue at its core is, did the thing built produce economically attractive returns overall, or is it more efficient and reduce costs in society so that these cost reductions produce capital to pay bills.
I'm sure some will say that saving the planet from destruction in 50 years is a noble cause, but taxing all of society by raising money from carbon taxes, and spending to produce more costly energy does absolutely nothing for the here and now. There may be some temporary relief, kicking the can down the road of hope. But after 3 years when the more costly energy comes on line it doesn't help at all...because an economy thats stagnant requires less and less energy, yet here this proposal is shuffling wealth around to make even more generating capcity thats more expensive.
Its just a thinly veiled extension of the "Never waste a good crisis" mentality to get someones pet projects up.
Regardless of motive, reality wins. What any tax scheme must do is show clear overall economic benefit in dollars, not good feelings or best intentions or "its the right thing" bs. The problem is money/capital. The fact fossil fuels produce energy at lower cost means a replacement must be even cheaper. End of story.
I don't believe it!
Here we are in Australia, debating on how bankrupt a carbon tax will make Australia and the carbon tax proposal is being proposed as a finance generation tool for the USA, one that could possibly save it from bankruptcy? Surely this validates the argument that a carbon tax has NOTHING to do with the environment, and is just a way to squeeze more tax and the last of the liquid funds from a dying economy! However, it is the most blatant admittance of the scam I have ever seen! The US economy is a basket case, with a published 10% unemployed and probably closer to 30% if everyone registered. Wages are down and falling, and few indicators suggest that the economy is anywhere near recovery. This is probably the only way that a tax could be levied to squeeze more from it, although it would hasten the end inevitably - there is only so much blood money that can be squeezed from an economy that is fundamentally flawed and a people who are essentially at the lowest point economically since the Mayflower!