a Business Spectator publication

CSG feels the heat

GUNNEDAH, Australia (Reuters) – On a recent spring day in the small Australian farming town of Gunnedah, an unlikely protestor takes the microphone to open a rally against the rapidly growing coal-seam gas industry: national radio talk-show host Alan Jones.

Jones, who broadcasts out of Sydney, has come to this remote community to show solidarity with a few hundred locals carrying yellow triangular signs reading "Farms Not Gas" and "Coal Seam Gas Stinks," part of a growing revolt against an industry spreading rapidly across the Australian landscape.

"You own what's underground, the community owns what's under the ground ... I warn Eastern Star Gas and Santos and others: you are not the community!" Jones tells the cheering crowd, naming two of the coal-seam gas firms working in the region.

The crowd are an unusual band of protesters: many are grey-haired and some have children in tow while others have taken the day off from running farms or teaching school to join the rally.

Jones, standing before a large Australian flag, bellows into the microphone with his arms held high: "Government has got to say prime agricultural land will be quarantined from all of this. Not asking much! But that's what today's about."

Jones is known in Australia for hitching himself to contentious issues. He goes down well among conservative voters and has been a thorn in the side of Australia's left-leaning government over its carbon tax plan and immigration policy.

He is normally no friend of the greens lobby, so to find this conservative "shock jock" and environmentalists aligned against coal-seam gas is a clear sign the industry, after years of causing barely a ripple, is headed for the political rocks.

With a surge of popular support for measures ranging from more regulation to an outright ban on drilling, the industry faces the prospect of project delays, higher costs and even blockades that have already succeeded in delaying drilling.

"The risks are quite material because of the groundswell of public opinion. The coal-seam gas industry will still move forward, but it will take longer and there will be added costs," said Geoff Barker, a partner at Resource Investment Strategy Consultants.

"In a changing regulatory environment, it's difficult to know whether you can foresee all of the costs that are likely to come your way."

WATER FIGHT

Politicians of all stripes have joined up to slow its march, including Australia's richest man, mining magnate Clive Palmer, conservative opposition leader Tony Abbott and Australian Greens leader Bob Brown. Normally poles apart, the conservatives and greens are in rough alignment in public debate on an issue that touches pressure points right along the political spectrum.

The debate on coal-seam gas development is over water and land rights -- two fundamental issues in the world's driest inhabited continent where less than 7 percent of land is arable and water shortages pose a serious threat.

Gas is unlocked from coal beds or seams by drawing the water out of them. Sometimes, to dislodge pockets of gas, water is injected back into the seams at high pressure to fracture them, which is known as fracking. Both techniques worry farmers, who draw on groundwater for their livestock or crops.

Australians are not alone in opposing non-traditional gas sources such as coal seams. Similar concerns have led to bans on fracking in France and South Africa and at a provincial level in Australia's New South Wales state and a few U.S. states.

On average, gas wells in Queensland suck 20,000 liters of water a day from the coal seams, although the amount can vary widely and declines over time.

Nearly 600 km (370 miles) north of the Gunnedah rally, in the Darling Downs area of Queensland state, a swathe of rich farm and grazing land, the industry already has a firm foothold.

In just over a year, Santos, BG Group and Origin Energy have sunk $45 billion into three export projects in Queensland, and investment in the sector could reach $80 billion when the industry hits full stride.

The coal-seam gas projects underway will produce nearly 21 million tons of liquefied natural gas, double Australia's current production, and are part of a rapid increase in gas supply that will make Australia the world's second-largest exporter before the end of the decade.

Much of the gas pumped out of the ground in Queensland has already been sold to customers in Asia, mainly in Japan, South Korea and China, through long-term contracts starting around 2015. Any delays could send prices for gas in the region much higher as gas developers scramble to fill those contracts.

Projects already underway are likely to be least affected by the growing protest movement, but those still on the drawing board, especially if still in the exploration phase, will likely face much tougher regulation.

Coal-seam gas development is expected to boost gross domestic product by $3 billion per year when it reaches full scale, and employ 18,000 people at its peak.

But the targeted gas resources lie beneath some of Australia's most productive and intensively farmed land, a major part of Queensland's massive agricultural industry that is forecast to contribute $6 billion, or 2.4 per percent of the gross state product, in 2010-11.

WORTH THE RISK?

For Katie Lloyd, whose family runs the Wieambilla cattle feedlot with 5,000 head of cattle near the town of Chinchilla in the Darling Downs, the crux of the issue is the anxiety of not knowing whether the water removed from the coal seams underneath their land will make their wells run dry.

"The groundwater is everything to us, we'd like to make sure that it's going to be here tomorrow and down the track," says Lloyd. A pony-tailed mother of two young children, she wears a bright blue Wieambilla Feedlot work shirt and tan baseball cap.

Her voice rises a pitch with emotion as she talks about the "beautiful" rolling grazing land: "If the science was there, yes I would feel more secure. If we knew our groundwater was secure and safe, then things would feel better."

Lloyd's property has 18 gas wells drilled by Origin Energy and Queensland Gas Company (QGC), a unit of BG Group. The firms have criss-crossed roads over her property and blocked off squares of her grazing land for coals seam gas wells. Each well takes about a hectare of land.

"We need the confidence to go and make those investments and at the moment this is such a big cloud of uncertainty for us because we don't know what is happening. We don't know what these companies are going to do next," Lloyd said.

Many farmers worry that gas developers have not done enough to make sure water supplies are safe, and others are frustrated they have no right to keep gas companies off their land.

In Australia, contrary to Alan Jones' rousing remarks at the Gunnedah rally, landholders own only the surface rights to their land while the government owns the underlying mineral rights, which it can lease out to gas developers.

Gas companies then negotiate land access agreements to come onto farms and usually take up about one hectare per well, excluding land needed for infrastructure like roads.

At its peak, government estimates of water production from all coal-seam gas wells range from 150 gigalitres (GL) to 300 GL a year, equivalent of up to 120,000 Olympic-size swimming pools.

The Queensland government, criticized for being too eager to reap the economic benefits of the industry, believes the impact on groundwater can be managed through monitoring and a "make good" policy, which requires gas firms to replace any water supplies a landowner loses due to coal-seam gas activities.

The government requires gas companies to drill holes to monitor levels of groundwater, and it drills its own monitoring bores so it can cross-check with industry data.

"The coal-seam gas industry would have more monitoring requirements on it than any other industry in Australia at this point in time," said Andrew Brier, who heads up the coal-seam gas enforcement unit at the Queensland Department of Environment and Resource Management, adding that regulators were not influenced by the state's support for the industry.

"There's been no one standing over my shoulder saying, 'take it easy on the companies'," he said, pointing out that his unit has already fined and led prosecutions against some companies for violating regulations.

'AQUIFERS WILL DROP'

Still, there remains uncertainty about the scale of the impact and where it will be felt the hardest.

"Aquifers will drop. There is no two ways about that. That will happen. The question is, is it of a scale and in a location that upsets somebody," says Peter Stone, an ecological expert with Australia's official scientific body, the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization

(CSIRO).

Gas developers say they are very tightly regulated and have to operate under 300 environmental and social conditions, including the "make good" provisions.

"I'm not sure what regulation deficiency they are seeing," said Rick Wilkinson, chief operating officer of the Australian Petroleum Production and Exploration Association, adding that misinformation and fear were fuelling the protests.

"We are learning as an industry to work more closely with agriculture. It has been quite a good, evolving process," he said.

Government and industry reassurances have done little to comfort the Lloyds, who draw water for their cattle from the ground using bores and still worry the gas developers will leave their family business high and dry.

The Lloyds were the first landowners in Queensland to file a complaint asking regulators to investigate a drop in water levels in their bores, but both a Queensland government report and company reports found that the drop was unlikely to have been related to coal-seem gas activity.

The Lloyds have appealed the findings and the government and the companies operating on their property are now monitoring real-time data to find a definitive reason for the water drop.

"It's unlikely (to be due to coal-seam gas), but it's hard to be 100 percent certain, because it's just the nature of groundwater," said Brier, of the coal-seam gas enforcement unit.

The Lloyds remain skeptical.

"There's 165 coal-seam gas wells within about five kilometers and plus there are a lot of workers' camps," Katie Lloyd said. "We've already got an overallocated system, so where does that water come from?"

POLARIZED

Opposition to coal-seam gas captures the headlines, but opinion within affected rural communities is divided. Some farmers support gas development because compensation for the wells can be a boon, especially during dry years.

"It's polarized the community ... I can't think of anything in history that's got people so passionate," said Ree Price, who moved to the area for a job rounding up cattle and then stayed after meeting her husband in the 1980s.

The Prices' property, Mt Hope, where they run a cattle-raising and breeding business, also has around 90 gas wells operated by Santos and QGC. Ree Price says she has managed to co-exist -- and sometimes benefit -- from the gas development.

"What are our options, really? You can dig your toes in, you can make it really difficult, but when it all boils down to it ... we farmers have no control over (it) at all," she said.

The Prices' property is also home to a Santos pilot project, the first of its kind, using treated coal-seam gas water to irrigate crops the Prices can feed to their cattle.

Until a few years ago, the Prices had been hit hard by drought and the land became so dry they had to ship in molasses to feed the cattle because there was no hay.

But with compensation income from the gas companies, they have been able to accomplish their business plan for the next 10 years in just three years, Price said. Because of confidentiality agreement with the company, Price could not disclose the amount of payments she received per well.

Price said part of the reason she and others in the area had been more open to gas exploration is that both oil and gas and cattle-raising had long histories in the area.

Australia's first oil find in 1900 was near Roma, which is also home to Australia's largest cattle market. The country's first commercial oil well was spudded in nearby Moonie.

The oil and gas industry's presence is still very visible: one of the town's tourist attractions is the "Big Rig" museum, which has an old rig that towers next to the main street.

COMPENSATION AND HIGHER COSTS

Farmers are also split on the level of compensation: some like Price are relatively content, others think it is too low and some like Lloyd believe it is besides the point until they are satisfied that gas development is safe for groundwater.

Compensation is negotiated privately between farmers and gas companies and farmers generally sign a confidentiality agreement, but anecdotal evidence suggests payments range from $1,500 to $5,000 per well per year as well as payments for additional infrastructure such as roads.

Another symptom of rapid gas development in rural areas has been a jump in labor costs, as the gas companies compete with farmers for semi-skilled workers.

But new employers have been good news for rural towns eager to provide local jobs and opportunities for their children.

"I've been through too many droughts and bad times in the rural community... there were too many downturns there not to welcome an industry that's given life to all our towns," says Robert Loughnan, mayor of the Maranoa Regional Council in Roma.

"It's really an opportunity for our kids," said Loughnan, who has sons aged 10 and 11 whom he doesn't expect to follow him into farming.

COAL SEAM GAS: WHAT'S THE RUSH?

Ultimately, the rush to push ahead with gas developments so rapidly may be the very thing that slows them down.

The number of wells has increased exponentially in just the last few years. Nearly 4,500 wells had been drilled as of September this year and that number is expected to jump almost tenfold to 40,000 when the industry reaches peak production, according to official data and estimates.

Wayne Newton, an irrigation farmer just south of the town of Dalby, is not an outright opponent of coal-seam gas drilling but wonders why it all needs to happen so fast.

"We sit on some of the best food-producing land in the world, we feel, and we really don't want to put that at risk," Newton said. "We think if things would be done just a little more slowly, we'd be able to overcome most of the issues."

Some FAQ's about coal-seam gas

WHAT IS COAL SEAM GAS?

Coal-seam gas production evolved from coal mining, where the gas trapped in coal seams can still be a hazard to miners -- and the reason for the proverbial "canary in the coal mine".

The largest coal-seam gas resources are in Canada, Russia, China, Australia and the United States, in order of potential size, according to the International Energy Agency.

Coal-seam gas is also known as coalbed methane, coal-seam methane, and coal-mine methane.

HOW LONG HAS COAL-SEAM GAS BEEN PRODUCED IN AUSTRALIA?

Coal-seam gas exploration began in 1976, but the first commercially viable well only came online two decades later in 1998.

Australia has about 250 trillion cubic feet of coal-seam gas reserves, enough to power a city of one million people for 5,000 years, according to industry estimates.

WHO ARE THE MAJOR PLAYERS IN AUSTRALIAN COAL SEAM GAS?

Australia's coal-seam gas resources are concentrated on its eastern seaboard, with around $45 billion in projects already underway in Queensland state to turn coal-seam gas into liquefied natural gas (LNG) for export.

Queensland Gas Company, a unit of BG Group, Santos , and Origin are heading up these projects, which are expected to come online around 2015 and cost about $15 billion each. Arrow LNG, a joint venture of Royal Dutch Shell and PetroChina, also has a project on the drawing board.

For a full list of projects

Several companies including Santos and AGL have operations in the state of New South Wales, but no major export projects have emerged there yet.

WHY HAS THERE BEEN SO MUCH OPPOSITION TO COAL SEAM GAS?

Coal-seam gas production involves pumping large amounts of water out of the ground to release gas trapped in coal seams, which can impact water-table levels. Opponents say the process could impact important Australian farming areas.

Coal-seam gas resources intersect with the Great Artesian Basin. One of the largest underground water reservoirs in the world, it straddles three Australian states and has been crucial in providing water to the country's sheep and cattle industry.

Another concern is a drilling technique known as hydraulic fracturing, which involves blasting large amounts of water mixed with sand and chemicals into coal seams to free trapped gas.

The process, also known as "fracking," is used on about 8 percent of coal-seam gas wells in Queensland, although that will likely increase to 25 to 40 percent of wells as they age and the gas becomes more difficult to extract, according to the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation.

Opponents say fracking could pollute groundwater beneath prime agricultural land, but the industry says safety precautions mean that water quality will not be impacted and that the industry can co-exist with farmers.

Critics of the industry have also said extensive dredging required to build the LNG export plants could harm marine life and Australia's Great Barrier Reef.

WHAT ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATIONS DO COAL-SEAM GAS PROJECTS HAVE TO FOLLOW?

Coal-seam gas projects approved so far have been subject to conditions that focus on protecting underground aquifers and disposing of salty water that the projects produce.

Analysts have said the conditions attached to coal-seam gas projects, although numerous, were not extremely onerous or likely to present significant obstacles to development.

Both Queensland and New South Wales have banned the chemical combination known as BTEX, which has been used for fracking in the United States. These states have also ruled out using evaporation ponds to dispose of the extremely saline water produced by coal-seam gas production.

In Queensland, State Premier Anna Bligh recently banned mining and coal-seam gas exploration within 2 km of urban areas with populations over 1,000. In New South Wales, there is a moratorium on fracking through the end of this year.

HOW DOES COAL-SEAM GAS DIFFER FROM SHALE GAS OR TIGHT GAS?

Coal-seam gas is one of several types of "unconventional" gas, including shale gas and so-called tight gas, which have been fuelled by new technology, higher energy prices that make previously uneconomical gas sources more profitable, and growing Asian demand, especially in China and India.

In the United States, the world's top oil consumer, rapid growth in shale gas production has caused natural gas prices to drop and may make the nation a net exporter of gas in coming years.

In Europe, production levels from unconventional gas sources, including shale, could range from 60 billion cubic metres (bcm), less than half of current shale gas production in North America, to 200 bcm by 2025, according to a study by IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates.

(Editing by Mark Bendeich and Simon Webb)

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Comments on this article

David you have it wrong

There is no way Darwinian selection applies to farming in Australia, except around cities where the best agricultural land has been subsumed into suburbia for the past 150 years.

Farmland in Australia is routinely under capitalised and under laboured. The consequence of the mythical love of family farmers and low food prices.

The banks regularly do Australian faming a service by forcing reluctant failures to sell their farms to others, better capitalised and usually more competent to manage them. The banks are routinely villified for this service.

CSG is the same. It isn't and wont wreck the Liverpool plains or any other farming area. It may take over a small percentage for some decades, but in return will deliver much needed capital into the area. The Prices experience is the perfect example.

I would dearly love a CSG (or wind company) to offer to use 5-10% of my farm and pay to enable me to better utilise the remaining 90%, including managing the conservation covenanted remnant vegetation.

To reiterate, we are NOT short of farmland in Australia. Farmers are short of financial resources to invest in capital and labour to improve output, or manage their land better. CSG, and wind famring, and tree cropping all offer opportunities for farmers. Trouble is too many of them live in a cloud cuckoo land, fenced off box and believe the myths that their lobby groups and the city media portray.

Few farmers have any sense of reality beyond their own boundary.

Alastair, you've not heard of Darwinian selection have you?

Alastair writes: "Farmers are like everyone else in society, whether doctors, plumbers or teachers - there are good, bad and pretty indifferent ones."

Crook doctors bury their mistakes, and dodgy plumbers move to growth areas where they can get away with it.  Crook farmers, however, go out of business.

"... most Australian farm land isn't prime, well managed or in short supply. Most has been well and trully mismanaged and degraded for the past 200 years and continues to be so. Much should never have been farmed in the first place."  Exactly, Alastair, farmers have learned by the mistakes of past generations.  

 

The thing about the Liverpool Plains is, they haven't yet been buggered up.  However, blowing them up so a few shiny-seated city types can get rich in the next decade or so before the Chinese progress past using coal strikes me as dead-set stupid. 

Remote? Gunnedah?

Gunnedah is "remote"?  With respect, Rebekah, who are you kidding?

 

Gunnedah is less than 500 km by road from Sydney, closer even than Melbourne.

Michel u will have to be less obtuse

Have re-read your posts a couple of times Michel and have trouble really working out what you are saying.

I don't read Murdoch papers so not sure what that is all about.

Jones is a populist of the worst Goebbels type. He has that same rose coloured view of rural people that, together with the Catholic Church, helped bring Hitler to power in the 1930's in Germany.

Farmers are like everyone else in society, whether doctors, plumbers or teachers - there are good, bad and pretty indifferent ones. Putting them and their farmland on some sort of shiny pedestal is stupid. Contrary to the myth propogated by farm lobbyists and blindly swallowed by naive city suckers, most Australian farm land isn't prime, well managed or in short supply. Most has been well and trully mismanaged and degraded for the past 200 years and continues to be so. Much should never have been farmed in the first place.

The world isn't short of food. Food is simply too cheap to afford a good enough living for people in developed and developing countries to stay on the land and apply the necessary capital and labour inputs to increase production.

The water contamination risk due to Oz CSG is pretty much zero. The aquifer drainage issue is a case of the pot calling the kettle black. Rural people take 99% of water from an aquifer and then have the temerity of saying CSG taking 1% is "draining the aquifer". Give me a break!

Can you not see the

Can you not see the unfortunate contradiction = good farmers who feed us have been led to believe that extracting that which contributes to droughts will save them from the drought. This model is not long term sustainable especially if CSG fails the necessary tests that are on the way.

Don't tell me mate bringing up Murdoch is not directly related to the topic when he owns 155 news papers across Australia including those in regional farming areas with no NBN yet!. That ain't democracy that is a comfortable prison with everyone sedated.

How do the banks feel if the values of those properties decline further because of water contamination risk ?

It's people like you Ben

It's people like you Ben advocating for that sensible, responsible approach that will add up to making a difference. 

However, if we do not take back our governments that were stolen from us by the likes of but not limited to Clive Palmer (who would have had other reasons for being there no doubt), Forest, and others such as Rupert Murdoch and those easily influenced by Alan Jones and immensely funded lobbyists - If anyone is truly serious about this - the power of those people must be pruned, in the proper way of course that may even let them grow again if they prove their worth. Otherwise are we not kidding ourselves?

I am definately not an expert on gas - but I was under the impression Australia had a large amount of accessible 'conventional gas' - but I must be incorrect or it's cheaper to extract 'unconventional gas such as CSG' using 'unconventional' methods' or they are just going for broke and taking the lot and cashing in 'you little ripper' - here's $270,000 a year to let us experiment with your land.  

It's reassuring that farmers such as the Loyds are taking that sensible, responsible approach.

Is everyone actually getting the news? or is your news limited?

CSG and farm access and land value

As a farmer I am stunned at the emotive crap that farmers get away with over their water "entitlements" and now CSG.

Are city people really that gullible?

Over the last 20 or so years various Governments have handed billions of dollars of public monies in windfall capital gains to various farming groups. Firstly through conversion of leasehold land to freehold. Secondly through permanent water rights. Now it seems the public is going to hand over mineral rights to farmers as well.

How dumb can the voting public (and the media) be?

Just to emphasise that I am not totally anti farmer (I am one after all!) I do think they have a strong case for some level of compensation for retrospective clearing controls that were introduced. I am strongly in favour of clearing controls but if it is a private cost and public benefit then the public has to pay. But likewise visa versa, eg. irrigation farmers should never have been given the type of freebie licenses they were given.

Re CSG. Farmers are entitled to reasonable notice and reasonable compensation for any farm income loss - no more no less. They are NOT entitled to stop access.

The argument about destruction of productive farmland is silly. Short maybe of a farmer growing an illegal weed crop nothing would come close to the value of CSG extraction. And the land will be rehabilitated, it is not "lost". The farmer doesn't end up with a 100 metre deep pit on their land.

More balance and less hyperbole

Given the current alarmist hyperbole around CSG this article was one of the more balanced ones. Ben Rose's comments just parrot the usual hyperbole.

As a strong supporter of gas as part of a needed transition strategy towards more renewables I take all anti gas, anti CSG views with a grain of salt. As a strong believer in man made global warming I also have the same attitude towards anti GW comments on this site.

However you do have to keep an open mind. I don't support nuclear as the life cycle economics just don't stack up.

However also can't see the point in Oz shifting high CO2 industry offshore to be substituted by even higher CO2 emissions offshore. On balance carbon tax (price!) has to be the way of the future however.

Unless you are in the 100% renewables NOW! camp and hang the cost, then I cannot see the logic in opposing CSG. There is debate over fugitive emissions, however I haven't seen any credible evidence that Oz current practise will be anywhere as high as some people claim to offset CO2 benefit of CCG vs. coal.

It comes back to the fuel efficient car vs. average (or worse!). Unless you are saying "ban fossil fuel driven cars" then moving to more fuel efficient ones must be moving forward.

The water arguments against CSG/ fracking seem to be just alarmist nonsense based on what is actually going on in Oz.

Farm access/ land use needs more space.

Need to put a brake on the rate of extraction

An excellent article - I was astounded at the amount of CSG resources Australia has and the rate at which extraction is projected to expand.

The rate of expansion of production is surely the issue here as it is with coal. The world faces the prospect of catastrophiic climate change and yet there is no brake on coal and gas extraction.

The sane pathway would be some worldwide agreement that thermal coal is phased out and natural gas is only used for co-generation applications.

Meanwhile there is nothing being done in Australia to stop corporations (mostly foreign owned) ripping these finite, polluting resources out at uncontrolled rates. This is the epitome of 'future eating'.

History will view Australia's current grab to profit from these polluting resources as pernicous corporate greed  out of control.

The contracting effect of mining boom induced high dollar exchange rates on the the manufacturing, agricultural and tourism industries, (which employ many times more people than mining) is yet another cause for action.

If 'the  government' owns resources below the ground then surely we can elect governments that will put a brake on the rate of extraction in cases such as this where there are clear adverse effects on climate and ground water resources.