War among the weather watchers
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows.
But weather forecasters, many of whom see climate change as a natural, cyclical phenomenon, are split over whether they have a responsibility to educate their viewers on the link between human activity and the change in the Earth's climates.
Only 19 per cent of US meteorologists saw human influences as the sole driver of climate change in a 2011 survey. And some, like the Weather Channel's founder John Coleman are vocal in their opposition.
"It is the greatest scam in history," wrote Coleman, one of the first meteorologists to publicly express doubts about climate change, on his blog in 2007. "I am amazed, appalled and highly offended by it. Global Warming; it is a SCAM."
The climate change controversy has split the American Meteorological Society, whose members are Americans' prime source of news about weather and climate
In its last official view issued in 2007, the AMS acknowledged that global warming is occurring and that human activities exacerbate it, especially the burning of fossil fuels and the release of the climate-warming gas, carbon dioxide.
Research since 2007 has only solidified climate science findings, said AMS Executive Director Keith Seitter. AMS members who disagree, he said, are in a minority, though an often outspoken one.
"There are some extremely vocal people who are arguing on that issue, but I think the science has continued to become more clear, not less so," Seitter said by telephone from Boston.
The controversy has held up the society's updated view on climate change but Seitter said expects the new AMS statement to hew closely to its position in 2007 and include updated scientific findings.
An online grassroots campaign called "Forecast the Facts" said the society needs to go beyond a strong statement on climate change and require that its members "report the current scientific consensus on climate change."
"As it stands right now, it is considered within the realm of acceptable discourse for media outlets, corporations and politicians to deny climate change and to stand in the way of much needed action," Daniel Souweine, who heads the campaign, said in an email.
Forecast the Facts is supported by the non-profit environmental groups League of Conservation Voters and 350.org, and has gotten 14,000 signatures for its petition to the AMS, Souweine said.
They will be hard-pressed to convince forecasters like Bob Breck, a weatherman at Fox Channel 8 in New Orleans who is vocal in his scepticism over climate change.
"AMS has long been dominated by people in academia, which is ok, they're the PhDs ... except those of us who I consider operational meteorologists, we were basically ignored," Breck said by telephone. "I believe in global warming cycles and we have been in a warming cycle. What I don't believe is that the driver of this current warming cycle is carbon dioxide."
Most weathermen and women have degrees in meteorology – the study of how Earth's atmosphere behaves in the short term – but few have studied climate science, which examines the wider system where weather occurs.
THE DIVIDE
But meteorologists advise Americans every day, and that makes them powerful shapers of public opinion. Most don't mention global warming in their weathercasts, but many also blog, and that is often where the scepticism surfaces.
Most US meteorologists – 82 per cent in a 2011 survey – are convinced that climate is changing, but many say it's changing because of natural causes, or human and natural causes combined.
That contrasts with about 95 per cent of climate scientists who are convinced that climate change is occurring and that human activities, particularly the burning of fossil fuels, are a key driver of it. This tallies with the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which reported with 90 per cent certainty in 2007 on the causes and effects of climate change.
To Edward Maibach, director of the Center for Climate Change Communication at George Mason University, that split shows that efforts like Forecast the Facts are misguided.
"It presumes that AMS is part of the problem, and I actually think the AMS is doing really, really solid work to help their weathercaster members expand the way they currently define their day job to include climate education as part of their role," Maibach said.
Maibach, who tracks meteorologists' attitudes on climate change, said sceptics in the group believe their concerns are being ignored.
"They feel their views and their concerns about the science are not being taken seriously," Maibach said. "It's pretty easy to understand how one gets to a place of anger when they feel dismissed and disrespected."
(Reporting By Deborah Zabarenko, Environmental Correspondent; Editing by Michele Gershberg and Jackie Frank)

Comments on this article
The Article Contradicts Itself
The term consensus implies everyone agrees. The article itself says there is a vocal minority that disagrees. This means there is no consensus.
Global Warming verses Climate Change
Firstly let us separate Global Warming and Climate Change. While they are related the causes and solutions have many differences.
Anyone who studies the evidence of rising sea levels, retreating glaciers and sea ice must accept Global Warming as real. The only evidence based and reasoned arguments are the cause or more likely causes. Firstly if we accept Global Warming it logically means we accept that the Earth was once in a heat equilibrium. Any changes to the heat input or output of the Earth must then change the heat equilibrium. Apart from the possible warming effect of increasing concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere. We have a plethora of man make gases recently released into the atmosphere that are all long lived and powerful green house gases as well as releasing some 5x10 to the power of 20 Joules of heat into the biosphere each year from burning fossil fuels. That number is significant because it is the same order of magnitude as the heat needed to cause the recorded Global Warming. Global Warming is real and it is accelerating we need to get serious about finding the causes otherwise there will be no solutions.
Dan
War among the weather watchers
I think that a factor here is that in many cases weather reporting is in the first place designed to entertain and its medium is weather not climate per se.
Like many things it is the entertainment value that keeps many people riveted to their TV's. Hence you get stylish weather reporters and some downright glamorous ones too!
A "good" weatherperson holds the viewers attention but not by content alone. This reflects in the station ratings and thence their revenue streams. Good weather people are well rewarded for their service, so don't stand in their way by expecting them to bring the uncomfortable issue of climate change or warming to tonight weather show.
Sure there are many factors at play, but like newspapers, their first goal is to be entertaining; truth, policy or philosophic direction are usually lined up somewhere behind.
'The greatest scam in history'?
Scam? Hardly. A sensible discussion is not well-served by hysterical comments like this. I doubt any scientist would claim that anthropogenic carbon dioxide is the sole driver of climate. Climate was changing before there were humans and will continue to change after we have departed the scene.
There are many possible reasons for the the nature of the warming we see at the moment. On considering the evidence, anthropogenic carbon dioxide is accepted by most scientists as the cause. It may turn out to be a mistake should new evidence be forthcoming. Until then, it remains our best hypothesis, so it would be irrational to ignore it.
Looking for a scam, while an entertaining diversion for some, is not going to affect the issue one way or the other.